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Bidenomics in Ruins: Inflation Spikes to 3.8% as Energy Costs Explode

The fallout from the Iran war is hitting American wallets hard, leaving families to pay the price for global instability.

Foreign PolicyPublished May 12, 2026 at 2:06 PMProcessed May 12, 2026 at 2:12 PM
A man palms his forehead in frustration while filling his truck up with gasoline.

The American dream is being squeezed by the harsh reality of rising prices, with inflation jumping to 3.8% in April—the highest level since May 2023. The Bureau of Labor Statistics confirms that surging energy costs are the primary culprit, accounting for nearly half of the increase.

As the conflict in Iran effectively chokes off the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices have skyrocketed, forcing the national average for a gallon of gas to $4.50, the highest price seen since July 2022. This economic pressure is not just limited to the pump; groceries, airfare, and clothing are all becoming increasingly unaffordable.

For the first time in three years, the reality of the situation has hit home: average paychecks are growing at only 3.6%, meaning Americans are officially losing ground to inflation. With the Federal Reserve now unlikely to cut interest rates and potential hikes back on the table, the incoming leadership at the central bank faces a daunting task.

This economic instability presents a significant challenge for the administration, as the promise of a thriving economy is being overshadowed by the cold, hard math of rising costs and stagnant wages.

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economyinflationenergyforeign-policy

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